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Data from September 2025 shows that paraffin wax export volume declined both month-on-month and year-on-year, hitting the lowest level for the same period in nearly five years. Concurrently, candle exports also decreased, falling to the lowest level for the same period in the past three years. This trend reflects continued significant pressure in the current export market.
Affected by international trade frictions coupled with the ongoing impact of the EU's anti-dumping duties on Chinese candle products, paraffin and candle export volumes in September 2025 declined both month-on-month and year-on-year. Considering the ineffective transmission of demand-side effects, the impact of tariff policies, there is limited room for recovery in the export market.
The production volume of paraffin wax from domestic mainstream refineries in September 2025 decreased by 40.8% year-on-year. The primary reason for the month-on-month and year-on-year decline in domestic paraffin wax production in September was shutdowns for maintenance. According to statistics, the cumulative domestic paraffin production from January to September decreased by 13.5% year-on-year.
China's paraffin exports in September 2025 accounted for 41.45% of the total production that month. Export volume decreased by 14.14% month-on-month and 31.93% year-on-year, showing a significant declining trend. The main factors influencing this round of export decline are: firstly, the uncertainty surrounding trade tariff adjustment policies; secondly, tight supply of fully refined paraffin due to turnarounds at petrochemical facilities; thirdly, the near completion of some rush-export orders. The combined effect of these multiple factors led to the decline in paraffin exports both month-on-month and year-on-year.
As Christmas stocking gradually concludes, coupled with the impact of competitively priced international resources, procurement enthusiasm has been somewhat suppressed. Paraffin exports in October are expected to continue declining compared to September.
Candle export volume in September decreased by 17.78% month-on-month and 25.17% year-on-year. The cumulative export volume from January to August decreased by 3.4% year-on-year. Influenced by the EU's anti-dumping duties on Chinese candle products, the current candle export market still faces considerable pressure.
The ongoing tug-of-war between supply and demand in the paraffin market persists, with poor demand transmission. The export market is affected by trade friction and anti-dumping duties, leading to weak export expectations and insufficient momentum in the fourth quarter. Market apprehension is evident.
In the face of continued export pressure and uncertain global trade conditions, partnering with a stable and experienced supplier is more important than ever. KH Honor Wax provides consistent paraffin wax quality, reliable supply assurance, and timely market updates to help your business stay resilient amid volatility. Contact us today to discuss tailored sourcing solutions for your needs.
